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A Fractured West in a Post-Western World

At a time of multiplying global challenges and a shift of power to the Asia-Pacific region, the United Kingdom’s decision to leave the EU is harmful to Western strategic interests as it reduces Europe’s political weight and its capacity to shape global affairs in a Post-Western World. The possibility of a Trump victory in the United States raises doubts about the stability of trans-Atlantic partnership.Equally important, the rise of “post-truth” and identity politics threatens to undermine the West’s key advantage vis-à-vis a rising China: its noisy but ultimately moderate and stability-producing democracy, its embrace of diversity and globalization, and its capacity to integrate migrants from all over the world.

Catastrophes are rarely one man’s work alone, and Brexit will …

brexit

Palestra: Teoria dos Jogos e Relações Internacionais

Palestra:

Como é possível interpretar as causas e as consequências estratégicas do Brexit? Por que a Coreia do Norte insiste em realizar testes nucleares, rejeitados pela opinião pública internacional? A Teoria dos Jogos fornece uma base teórica para analisar de modo aprofundado questões de política internacional. No dia 13/07, o professor Umberto Mignozetti virá até a FGV para apresentar a aplicação dessa teoria às Relações Internacionais. Para inscrever-se, clique no link abaixo:

http://www.fgv.br/eventos/?P_EVENTO=2837&P_IDIOMA=0

Palestrante:

Umberto Mignozzetti é PhD Candidate pela New York University e Stanton Fellow na FGV-SP. Atua áreas de Economia Política Comparada e Política Internacional. Seus últimos trabalhos abordam como instituições internacionais facilitam a contenção de Estados falidos; e como o tamanho de legislaturas municipais influencia a …

Peru-2

Is Nicolás Maduro today’s Alberto Fujimori?

Fujimori announcing the end of democracy in Peru (1992)

Over the past months, several observers have compared Nicolás Maduro to Alberto Fujimori, whose dictatorial rule in Peru ended in disgrace in the year 2000. Specifically, Maduro’s decision to essentially neuter Venezuela’s National Assembly (what some have called a “slow-motion coup“) after the opposition’s historic parliamentary election victory in December 2015has been compared to Fujimori’s decision to impose emergency rule in 1992 and shut down Congress. Does the comparison make sense?

On the 4th of April of 1992, Alberto Fujimori appeared on television screens across Peru to announce that he saw himself forced to adopt an “exceptional attitude” needed to “accelerate the project of national reconstruction”. Peru’s Congress …

NelsonJobim

Entrevista de história oral com Nelson Jobim

Entrevistado: Nelson Jobim, Ministro da Defesa (2007-2011).

Entrevista realizada no contexto do projeto “Política Externa e Relações Internacionais da
Nova República”, desenvolvido com financiamento do Conselho Nacional de
Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq), entre dezembro de 2011 e dezembro de2013. O projeto visa à gravação de 20 horas de depoimentos com presidentes e principaisdiplomatas que tiveram participação nas relações internacionais da transição democrática atéos dias atuais. Tais entrevistas serão tratadas e divulgadas no portal do CPDOC, bem comoservirão de subsídio para publicação de um livro.

Baixar entrevista na íntegra aqui.

Entrevistador(es): Oliver Stuenkel;Marcos Tourinho.

Outras entrevistas podem ser encontradas no acervo de história oral do CPDOC através do link http://www.fgv.br/cpdoc/acervo/historia-oral.

Entrevista: 10.05.2013

Parte 1: Crise na aviação …

Afghan

Return of a King: The Battle for Afghanistan, 1839-42

The Empire’s last stand:British troops during their humiliating retreat from Kabul in January 1842. Of the over 4,000 soldiers and over 10,000 camp followers, only around 100 survived as they crossed the Khyber Pass.

Book review: Return of a King: ‘The Battle for Afghanistan,1839-42’by William Dalrymple. Vintage, 2014. 560 pages. $ 15.92 (paperback, amazon.com)

The story of the first British invasion of Afghanistan from 1839 to 1842, which would later be called the First Afghan War, is well known. Needlessly worried about growing Russian influence in Central Asia, a potential base from which to attack India, thejewel in the crown of the British Empire, policy makers in London decided to remove Dost Mohammad Khan from power in …

MINUSTAH

Brazil’s Retreat from the International Stage Continues

A Brazilian peacekeeper of the theUnited Nations Stabilization Mission in Haiti (MINUSTAH)

Despite some cautious optimism during the first days of the Temer government, there are worrisome signs that Brazil’s retreat from the global stage, initiated around 2012 during Dilma Rousseff’s first term, is set to continue. Brazil’s stance on three security-related issues — UN Security Council reform, the situation in Venezuela and the global refugee crisis — suggest South America’s largest country will continue to be a bystander when key challenges to global stability are discussed.That is bad news for Brazil’s strategic interests, global governance, and the future of democracy.

The history of Dilma Rousseff’s foreign policy will begin to be written on the day …

Venezuela

Brasil tem obrigação moral de ajudar a Venezuela

Oliver Stuenkel
A crise venezuelana prejudica a reputação da região e fortalece a noção de que a América do Sul está à deriva. Vizinhos têm o dever de intervir

https://www.nexojornal.com.br/ensaio/2016/Brasil-tem-obriga%C3%A7%C3%A3o-moral-de-ajudar-a-Venezuela

A invocação da Carta Democrática Interamericana pelo Secretário-Geral da OEA (Organização dos Estados Americanos) para discutir a degradação da democracia venezuelana sinaliza que Luis Almagro está disposto a adotar uma postura mais firme em relação ao presidente da Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro. Para que sua iniciativa seja bem-sucedida, é necessário que o Brasil e a Argentina assumam um papel-chave nessa empreitada.

Susana Malcorra e José Serra, chanceleres da Argentina e do Brasil, seriam essenciais para articular uma coalizão de pelo menos dois terços dos Estados membros da OEA (23 votos), número …

Chaco

Blood and Debt: War and the Nation State in Latin America

Book review:Blood and Debt: War and the Nation State in Latin America. By Miguel Angel Centeno. Penn State University Press, 2002. 344 pages. $18.69 (kindle, amazon.com)

At a recent policy debate about the future of global affairs, a speaker showed a map of global “hot spots”, pointing to regions he believed would be particularly prone to the outbreak of interstate war in the coming decade — large swaths of Africa, the Middle East and Asia, as well as Eastern Europe carried the symbol of small explosions to symbolize risk. It was a typical, though often overlooked, moment where South America stands out positively as one of the few continents with extremely low risk of interstate war. Indeed, with …