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What Would a Marina Presidency Mean for Brazilian Foreign Policy?

Marina Silva and her advisers faced a formidable challenge. After Eduardo Campos’ tragic death on August 13, Marina Silva, Campos’ running mate, suddenly turned into the best placed candidate to defeat President Dilma Rousseff in the upcoming elections. While other candidates had months to hone their arguments, Marina’s team had merely days to finalize the document that lists her policy proposals. Contrary to 2010, when she was seen as a protest candidate, she has now turned into a serious contender, and the first option for many of those who are dissatisfied with the way the country is goverrned.

International issues will not be decisive in this election, of course. Voters care most issues such as health care, education, public transport, …

Book review: “The End of Power” by Moisés Naím

Moisés Naím:The End of Power: From Boardrooms to Battlefields and Churches to States, Why Being In Charge Isn’t What It Used to Be. Basic Books. March 2013. R$ 20,50 (www.amazon.com.br)

“Being in charge isn’t what it used to be”, principally due to the “decay of power”, Moisés Naím writes in his latest book. Power is now easier to obtain but harder to keep and to use. Traditional centers of power (governments, large private corporations, etc.) are increasingly facing more nimble “micropowers” such as hackers, single-issue activists and political fringe parties. The established actors now face the challenge to deal with the threat micropowers pose.

The title of the book is misleading:power is not about to end. Rather, according …


How Fernando Henrique Cardoso and Lula worked together to woo George W. Bush

As Brazil is heading for a fiercely contested election in October, a fascinating new book looks back at Brazil’s most dramatic power transition since democratization three decades ago. 18 Dias.:Quando Lula e FHC se uniram para conquistar o apoio de Bush (roughly “18 days:When Lula and Fernando Henrique Cardoso worked together to obtain support by President Bush” ) by Matias Spektor, Professor of International Relations at the Getulio Vargas Foundation and columnist at Folha de São Paulo, uses the unique moment after Lula’s historic victory in 2002 as a starting point for an excellent analysis of presidential diplomacy and Brazil’s place in the world.

The outgoing President Fernando Henrique Cardoso faced a dilemma. Brazil had made great progress during his …

What do Chinese academics think about Brazil? Not much, apparently

“What does China think?”, Mark Leonard, Director of the European Council on Foreign Relations asked in 2008 in his book with that same title. Clearly, the world was desperate to find out, and Leonard’s analysis was translated into 15 languages. No country is as important yet so little understood as China. The situation in Brazil is a classic example: China turned into Brazil’s most important trading partner in 2009, yet Brazil lacks the necessary knowledge about China that it has about other key partners, such as Argentina and the United States. Only a very limited number of Brazilian diplomats is fluent in Chinese, and there are no internationally leading China experts based at Brazilian universities. The public discussion about …

Processo Seletivo: Professor horista de Relações Internacionais (CPDOC/FGV)


OCPDOC em São Paulo informa a abertura de processo seletivo para a contratação de um professor(a) horista de Relações Internacionais para início de suas atividades no primeiro semestre de 2015.

O Centro de Relações Internacionais da Fundação Getúlio Vargas, sediado na Escola de Ciências Sociais (CPDOC), promove a pesquisa, ensino, criação de acervos e o debate sobre grandes temas de política e história internacional. Oferece a todos os alunos de graduação das escolas da FGV em São Paulo e no Rio de Janeiro a Formação Complementar em Relações Internacionais, programa composto por disciplinas que proporcionam ao aluno as habilidades necessárias para analisar os grandes temas de política internacional, tratando de temas como globalização, política externa brasileira, história das relações …


2014: Towards Global Instability?

Last week, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace asked its leading international affairs experts an intriguing question: “Every day seems to bring more bad news as global instability rages on. But is the level of turmoil really unique? Or does it just feel like it?”(Their brief responses can be read here, under the title “Is the World Falling Apart?” ).

It will take years before the current global situation can be properly contextualized and interpreted. In his response, Carnegie’s Thomas Carothers argued that the multitude of ongoing conflicts (Israel-Gaza, Libya, Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan, Pakistan, Ukraine, South Sudan, Central African Republic, etc.) seem to

underline the continued diffusion of power away from the United States to other actors, whether to …

Os EUA devem celebrar seu declínio?

The Upside of Down. Why the Rise of the Rest is Good for the West. By Charles Kenny. Basic Books, 2014. 256 pages, R$ 28,89 Kindle (www.amazon.com.br)

“Ser o número um é vantajoso, com certeza, mas precisamos, cada vez mais, que outros países se imponham – e não deveríamos nos assustar quando eles o fizerem.”

O debate sobre o futuro da ordem global é dominado por acadêmicos dos EUA que acreditam que a liderança do país se prolongará (como Robert Kagan em The World America Made e Bruce Jones em Still Ours To Lead) e outros que acreditam em seu declínio (como Ann Lee em What the U.S. Can Learn from China e Stephen Leeb em Red …