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Post-Western World: How Emerging Powers are Remaking Global Order

Order here: https://www.amazon.co.uk or amazon.com.

With the United States superpower status rivalled by a rising China and emerging powers like India and Brazil playing a growing role in international affairs, the global balance of power is shifting. But what does this mean for the future of the international order? Will China dominate the 21st Century? Will the so-called BRICS prove to be a disruptive force in global affairs? Are we headed towards a world marked by frequent strife, or will the end of Western dominance make the world more peaceful? In this provocative new book, Oliver Stuenkel argues that our understanding of global order and predictions about its future are limited because we seek to imagine the post-Western world …

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The Post-Western World and the Rise of a Parallel Order

  By Oliver Stuenkel September 26, 2016

http://thediplomat.com/2016/09/the-post-western-world-and-the-rise-of-a-parallel-order/ The Financial Times‘ Gideon Rachman recently told his readers about a profoundly unsettling experience. A group made up of “plenty of eminent people” from the West, including former prime ministers and billionaires, traveled to Beijing to meet China’s President Xi Jinping. There, according to the writer, the foreign grandees were lectured, “treated a bit like a class of schoolchildren.”

We stand at the cusp of a historic shift of power away from the West toward Asia, and the consequences are increasingly being felt in global politics. With the day when China will overtake the United States as the world’s largest economy appearing on the horizon, the West is slowly losing the remarkable …

Vlza1

Crise humanitária na Venezuela requer resposta regional (El País)

  Padaria na Venezuela exibe um cartaz pedindo para que os clientes não façam fila. MARCO BELLO REUTERS

http://brasil.elpais.com/brasil/2016/09/21/opinion/1474476187_227104.html

OLIVER STUENKEL 21 SET 2016 - 15:15 BRT

Na semana passada, o novo chanceler brasileiro, José Serra, obteve uma importante e inesperada vitória diplomática: conseguiu convencer Buenos Aires e Montevidéu a unirem esforços para aumentar a pressão sobre a Venezuela. Os membros do Mercosul deram até 1º de dezembro para que o país conclua a internalização das normas do bloco, sob pena de suspensão. A Venezuela entrou no Mercosul em 2012, mas ainda não ratificou muitas das normas do grupo para comércio, política, democracia e direitos humanos. O ultimato representa uma relevante mudança da estratégia em relação à Venezuela, que havia, …

Journalof-Power-edited

Do the BRICS possess soft power?

 

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/2158379X.2016.1232285

Journal of Political Power

Pages 1-15 | Published online: 20 Sep 2016

http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/2158379X.2016.1232285

Abstract

Has soft power in the emerging world risen commensurately to its hard power? Can the BRICS’ soft power rival that of the West as emerging powers expand their global presence? An analysis of the questions above shows that, despite remarkable economic growth during the first decade of the twenty-first century, BRICS countries’ capacity to enhance their soft power is highly uneven, and they still struggle to rival established Western powers in most of the concept’s dimensions. Still, the BRICS grouping, created on the basis of economic forecasts, is increasingly being used as a platform to enhance soft power, primarily through the creation of the …

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BRICS: the survivor (Public Finance)

 

By: Oliver Stuenkel 20 Sep 16

The BRICS group is thriving despite some recent economic turbulence. It offers members a shared policy platform and cross-continental connections

http://www.publicfinanceinternational.org/opinion/2016/09/brics-survivor

Few things captured the spirit of global affairs in the first decade of the 21st century better than the BRICs concept, an investment category invented by Goldman Sachs’ Jim O’Neill in 2001. Emerging powers in the global south were starting to catch up, while the US and Europe were mired in the deepest economic crisis in decades. In 2009, the governments of Brazil, Russia, India and China started holding annual high-level summits, invited South Africa, and sought to institutionalise the BRICS (now with a capital S). The then Russian president Dmitry Medvedev called …

Easternizationresized

Easternisation: War and Peace in the Asian Century

 

Book review: Easternisation. War and Peace in the Asian Century. Gideon Rachman. Vintage Digital, 2016. 320 pages. $28.19 (kindle, amazon.com)

The Financial Times' Gideon Rachman recently told his readers about a profoundly unsettling experience. A group made up of "plenty of eminent people" from the West, including former prime ministers and billionaires, traveled to Beijing to meet China's President Xi Jinping. There, according to the writer, the foreign grandees were lectured, "treated a bit like a class of schoolchildren."

We stand at the cusp of a historic shift of power away from the West towards Asia, and the consequences are increasingly being felt in global politics. With the day when China will overtake the United States as the …

Vlza

Brazil and Argentina should lead regional effort to address humanitarian crisis in Venezuela

  Venezuelans queueing for food

Last week brought an important and unexpected diplomatic victory for Brazil's new Foreign Minister José Serra, who convinced governments in Buenos Aires and Montevideo to accept putting joint pressure on Venezuela. Mercosur's members issued an ultimatum to comply with the bloc's rules by December 1, or otherwise face suspension. Venezuela joined Mercosur in 2012, but it failed to ratify many of the group's rules governing trade, politics, democracy and human rights. The ultimatum represents a major policy change vis-à-vis Venezuela, which until then had enjoyed near-sold Latin American support since Chávez's election victory in 1999.

Venezuela may ask for an extension to comply, but it is unlikely to ratify Mercosur's many rules. What is often overlooked is …

Trump

How would a Trump presidency affect global order?

 

The United Kingdom's decision to leave the European Union, which shocked the world on the morning of June 24, will most likely go down in history as one of the most important events since the turn of the century, reducing Europe's political weight and its capacity to shape global affairs in a Post-Western World. Even the impact of a possible Trump presidency is unlikely to be as lasting as that of Brexit, since the latter will impact geopolitics permanently — Trump, on the other hand, will, if elected, be a temporary phenomenon.

And yet, a Trump victory in November could have a tremendous impact on global affairs, raising further doubts about the stability of the trans-Atlantic partnership, US security commitments …